Tricky forecast in the works! Plenty of moisture coming our way.

Saturday Morning 3/30/13 9am—- Forecast looks good with high elevation snow for the sierra tonight thru Monday morning. Here is a tidbit from The National Weather service Reno Forecast Discussion from this morning regarding next week’s storm:

AS THE JET REACHES THE COAST THE MODELS VARY ON ITS POSITION FROM
OREGON TO CENTRAL CALIFORNIA. IF THE JET STAYS TO OUR NORTH, THE
MOISTURE PLUME WILL REMAIN TO OUR NORTH WITH HIGH SNOW LEVELS AND
LIGHT PRECIPITATION TOTALS. IF THE JET WERE TO TRACK INTO CENTRAL
CALIFORNIA, THE PLUME WILL BE DIRECTED INTO THE SIERRA WITH A LARGE
BOOST OF LIFT AND INSTABILITY FROM THE COLD CORE OF THE LOW. THIS
COULD LEAD TO A SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION EVENT WITH SNOW LEVELS
FALLING BELOW 6000 FEET. BRONG

Friday Morning 3/29/13 11am—Forecast still on track with snowfall amounts still in the 8-10 inch range thru Monday. We could see a bit more depending on how quickly the snow levels drop on Sunday. Kirkwood getting the brunt of it with the trajectory of this system and higher elevation could see up to 14 inches. The system at the end of next week is starting to look real promising as one model shows up to 4 inches of water over the crest! That’s just one model, but the others are starting to hint at a nice event as well. Stay tuned!

Thursday Morning 3/28/13 7:30 am —There is a little bit of fresh snow in Kirkwood this morning with more on the way (very little accumulation) over the next couple days. Expect partly cloudy skies and temps. in the mid to upper 30s Thursday thru Saturday. Over an inch of moisture headed our way Saturday thru Sunday Night. The big problem is snow levels which will hover between 8000-8500 feet until late Sunday, then drop to 7500. At this time of year it is probably best that we get wet heavy snow which will smooth out faster and create nice Spring surface. Main part of the system will hit late Saturday thru Sunday. Shouldn’t be to much of a travel problem with the warm April roads. Snowfall amounts look to be 8-10 inches above 8500 feet.

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